According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, overnight losses on Nov. 19 removed the last traces of “greed” away from traders’ minds.
From “greed” to “fear” in two days
As BTC price action headed lower this week, sentiment played catch-up as spot price contrasted with still bullish signals from markets.
Derivatives traders were — and to an extent still are — in a phase of exuberance, with some still betting on a dramatic price rebound in the short term.
Overall sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, has now changed to correspond to spot more closely.
At the time of writing, the Index measured just 34/100 — characterizing “fear” — having dived a full 20 points overnight.
The sharp fall contrasts strongly with behavior for much of the past two months, where the Index lingered in “greed” territory around the low 70s.
As such, investors are now at their most fearful since the end of September, just before Bitcoin began its surge to recent all-time highs.
Old hands stand firm
Some investors may be more fearful than others.
This is underscored by figures showing the overall percentage of the BTC supply currently not in profit.
As noted by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, long-term holders (LTH) have engaged in minimal selling recently, and hold just 3% of the supply, which is currently not in profit.
Short-term holders (STH) — coins that have moved in the past 155 days — have taken the brunt of the sell-off.